Iso. T-Storms Possible Today 10/01/12

Monday Morning Weather Update
Greg Morgan – Chief Meteorologist

After the biggest round of rain in years, area lakes are showing the benefit this morning. Lake levels have increase from 2’ on the low end at JB Thomas to near 15’ at OH Ivie. Creeks are still running and additional increases are likely. However, a bulk of the runoff has run its course.

Additional thunderstorm activity is likely today, especially over the eastern portions of the Permian Basin. Skies will be partly cloudy and temperatures will range from the upper 70’s to the mid 80’s for most. A few locations in the Presidio Valley could hit 90 this afternoon. Winds will be out of the NE at 10-20mph.

Sunny skies will return Tuesday through Thursday. High temperatures will go on a bit of a roller coaster though. Highs will reach into the upper 70’s on Tuesday, after a chilly start in the morning. Wednesday will be the warmest day of the week. Expect highs in the upper 80’s to near 90 in the afternoon. A cold front will move into the area on Thursday. This will bring highs down to the lower 80’s on Thursday and Friday. Another shot of colder air will move into the region this weekend. Expect highs only in the lower 70’s on Sunday. Overnight lows could drop into the 40’s this weekend.

Just beyond the realm of the 7-Day forecast, the weather pattern starts to look quite interesting. A large upper level trough sets up on the West Coast. A tropical system moving north off the coast of Baja, Mexico will eject moisture northward and become embedded in the upper level flow moving over West Texas. If this sounds familiar, it is! It’s a similar pattern to the one that just brought us massive rainfall totals in West Texas. It’s a bit too early to jump on this, but it’s exciting to see none the less.

GM